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Cardinal Relievers Shutdowns and Meltdowns

May 6, 2010

FanGraphs added an interesting new metric that stemmed from Jeff Zimmerman’s anti-save rant. That’s what is cool about the sabermetric community. They solve problems together, and then Appelman comes along and puts these stats on the site for everyone to enjoy.

The stats are shutdowns and meltdowns, and they are a win probability based stat. The value for a shutdown or meltdown when a reliever accumulates greater than or equal to 0.06/-0.06 WPA in any individual game. In other words, they improve or blow the chances of their teams winning by at least 6%.

Here’s how the Cardinal relievers stand at the moment.

Reliever Shutdown Meltdown
Ryan Franklin 7 0
Dennys Reyes 4 2
Trever Miller 3 1
Jason Motte 3 1
Felipe Lopez 1 0
Kyle McClellan 2 1
Blake Hawksworth 1 3
Mitchell Boggs 2 2
Joe Mather 0 1
Totals 23 11


  1. May 7, 2010 8:53 AM

    I’ve got to say, I didn’t expect to see Hawk with such a poor record of results by this metric, since I believed he’s typically pitching in mop-up/low LI situations. It would appear that impression is wrong or that he’s making the least of his opportunities.

  2. May 7, 2010 8:56 AM

    Just to follow up there, the Hawk does, in fact, have the lowest gmLi of the relief corps. Shabby.

    • May 7, 2010 11:09 PM

      He’s not particularly impressive, but I don’t think he’s horrible. That walk-off to Chooch obviously accounts for one, which to me was weird, because if TLR doesn’t typically trust him, then why suddenly throw him out in a tie game? I’ll have to look at his game logs to find the other meltdowns.

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