Just wanted to put a couple of charts up that give a pretty decent view of Albert’s offense through the years. First, his wOBA by components graph (note these were computed with each year’s coefficients)
That’s pretty consistent, with only one year that tickles .400 or below. And for another look, the same chart from a percentage view
This gives a better view into the relative way he’s amassed his offensive production. Wow he got a lot of his value from the HR in 2006… anyway, just thought these graphs were interesting given the occasion of his 3rd MVP.
My plan is to get my simulation back out now that I have my defensive projections to input in there, so look for some comparisons of different potential roster constructions. If you have any you’d specifically like to see drop them in the comments and I’ll see what I can do.
First off a hello to all you PAH9ers; second, thanks to Erik for letting me tag along over here.
For those that haven’t heard of me I used to write here. I’ll basically be doing the same thing over here that I did over there, which means a steady diet of numbers, graphs, and pitch f/x. Some of it will be broad spectrum, but most of it will be Cards focused (or at least brought back to the Cards). Now back to your regularly scheduled analysis.
CHONE projections for hitters are out, so now we can provide another piece of the 2010 projected value puzzle. First just a quick table of the “relevant” Cardinals and their projected wOBA (for full stat lines go poke around the linked site)
| Name |
2010 Projected wOBA |
| Albert Pujols |
0.433 |
| Ryan Ludwick |
0.356 |
| Colby Rasmus |
0.334 |
| Skip Schumaker |
0.330 |
| Yadier Molina |
0.329 |
| Brendan Ryan |
0.310 |
| Julio Lugo |
0.311 |
| Allen Craig |
0.346 |
| David Freese |
0.337 |
It’s good (but maybe overly optimistic?) to see both Freese and Craig come out as better than league average performers offensively. That really bodes well for Freese as all signs point to him being a capable (i.e. league average-ish defender). It’s much less stellar to see Boog so low.
Keep reading after the jump for some FA projections along with a little more Cards analysis
(more…)
erik
stevesommer05